中国的政治与思想是在芜杂中前进的

2008-06-11 22:01:23 　　来自: JaneHuang
What Does China Think?的评论   

　　《What Does China Think》 其实应该让中国学者来写，因为它讲的是中国思想界的状况（如左右之争什么的），但问题是中国学者要不就是“只缘身在此山中”，要不就是讳莫如深。该书算是西方看中国系列书籍中较有分量的一本，各大报章争相介绍，也算风行一时。Mark Leonard是欧洲外交政策理事会主任，书中很多观点都很有意思，比如说因为中国缺少民主机制和言论自由，中国学者反而受到执政者的高度重视，具有西方学者所不及的影响力；又比如说代表新右派的“上海帮”和代表新左派的“团派”势均力敌，达到了权力平衡，但左派稍占上风；又比如说外交部和上海帮抨击“和平崛起”理念以重夺影响力，于是“软权力”、“多边主义”和“非对称战争”概念兴起；等等。有一段话我觉得特别有意思：In the long term, China’s one-party state may well collapse. However, in the medium term, the regime seems to be developing increasingly sophisticated techniques to prolong its survival and pre-empt discontent. One of the reasons why it seems to be so resilient is its mixture of pragmatism and responsiveness. The Chinese government is, in some way, its own sternest critic. It constantly commissions and researches its own vulnerabilities. In fact, whenever scholars write reports on the impending collapse of China’s one-party state they seem to draw on studies commissioned by the state itself. And when the Communist regime looks for mechanisms to entrench its power, it takes as much inspiration from the practices of advanced democracies as other autocracies. China has already changed the terms of the debate about globalization by proving that authoritarian regimes can deliver economic growth. In the future, its model of deliberative dictatorship could prove that one-party state can deliver stability as well. (p81)